Seyed Komail Tayebi; Hoshang Shajari; Mohamad Vaez Barazani; Ahmad Googerdchain
Volume 12, Issue 36 , October 2008, , Pages 17-36
Abstract
The expansion of international trade has influenced deeply many economies to converge (Slaughter 1998). Now a question can be raised whether the establishment of an economic union (a currency union, for instance) can lead to income convergence or it may cause income divergence between members of that ...
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The expansion of international trade has influenced deeply many economies to converge (Slaughter 1998). Now a question can be raised whether the establishment of an economic union (a currency union, for instance) can lead to income convergence or it may cause income divergence between members of that union.
This paper examines whether the membership of countries in a block for trade expansion enables their economies to move toward income convergence, while the result should be different between countries in north, or north and south. To this end, the objective, the paper uses a difference-indifferences (DID) analysis to measure the rate of income convergence (divergence) before and after establishing a currency union. The results obtained approve that the implementing of currency union affects significantly and directly income convergence in the world, while this effect in much more pronounced in North-South countries than of North-South ones.
Hoshang Shajari; Komail Tayebi; Seyed Abdolmajid Jalaee
Volume 8, Issue 26 , April 2006, , Pages 153-179
Abstract
In the literature of international economics, determination of exchange rate pass- through has been closefy related to main determinants, and to its impacts on other economic variables. In principle, exchange rate pass-through is defined as a change in exchange rate as a result of a change in prices ...
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In the literature of international economics, determination of exchange rate pass- through has been closefy related to main determinants, and to its impacts on other economic variables. In principle, exchange rate pass-through is defined as a change in exchange rate as a result of a change in prices of imported goods. The pass-through is generally measured based on the responsiveness of the import price index to changes in real exchange rate. In accordance with fluctuations in foreign exchange and the exchange rate, this paper attempts to explore the importance of exchange rate pass-through in the Iranian economy. origenaly, a theoretical discussion of the exchange rate pass-through is reviewed, and then, by using Neuro-Fuzzy Systems its situation in Iran is analyzed. In addition, empirical models of import prices and exchange rate are specified for the Iranian economy to examine the impacts of monetary and foreign exchange policies, as well as the degree of economic opennness on exhang rate pass-through in Iran. The models are also estimated and evaluated by the Neuro-Fuzzy Systems. In general, the results obtained indicate that the conduction of all mentioned policies has significant and positive effects on the pass-through status. In addition, the method used is a more efficient and reliable instrument in forecasting the trends of the exchange rate and the price variables